Urbanisation, Economic Development, and Feminisation of Informal Employment
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.59926/jodprp.vol10/2026/10Keywords:
Urbanisation, Informal Sector, Feminisation, Employment, Women, Panel DataAbstract
The study builds upon the widely studied relationship between urbanisation and the proportion of females in informal employment by analysing a unique correlation across varying national income levels. To examine how this relationship changes non-linearly across different stages of economic development, denoted by the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the study applies a high-dimensional fixed effects model with interaction terms to a panel dataset of 126 countries, across a time period of 15 years, from 2010 to 2024. The study’s quantitative analysis on the secondary dataset sourced from the International Labour Organization and the World Bank reveals that the effect of urbanisation on female informal employment is non-linear and conditional upon the level of economic development in a country. Moreover, the marginal effect of urbanisation on female informal employment decreases as GDP per capita increases, resulting in a U-shaped, non-monotonic transformation. Thus, the effect of urbanisation on female informal employment gradually neutralises as the national income level increases. The nature of the study’s results calls for female-oriented labour policies to be context-driven rather than uniform, depending on the country’s level of economic development. Specifically, the study opens a path to investigating the differing requirements of the labour landscape across three categories of income levels and suggests policies to be tailored differently for each.
JEL Classification Codes: O17, O11, O18, J46
Conflict of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Acknowledgement: The views and opinions are those of the authors and do not represent the views of any institution.
AI Declaration/Use of Generative AI: No AI tools were used in this study.
Funding: No
Article History
Submitted: 16 Jan 2026; Last Revised: 25 July 2026; Accepted: 7 Oct. 2026
Downloads
References
Aronsson, A.E., Vidaurre-Teixidó, P., Jensen, M.R., Solhaug, S. and McNamara, C. 2023. ‘The Health Consequences of Informal Employment Among Female Workers and Their Children: A Systematic Review’. Global Health, vol. 19, e59. <https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-023-00958-1>.
Banerjee, B. 1983. ‘The Role of the Informal Sector in the Migration Process: A Test of Probabilistic Migration Models and Labour Market Segmentation for India’. Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 35, no. 3, pp. 399–422. <https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.oep.a041604>.
Bocarejo, J.P., Portilla, I.J., Velásquez, J.M., Cruz, M.N., Peña, A. and Oviedo, D.R. 2014. ‘An Innovative Transit System and Its Impact on Low Income Users: The Case of the Metrocable in Medellín’. Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 39, pp. 49–61. <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2014.06.018>.
Bussolo, M. and Rexer, J. 2025. ‘Urbanisation Vs. Tradition: The Paradox of Female Labour Force Participation in South Asia’. OECD Development Matters, 23 February. <https://oecd-development-matters.org/2025/02/23/urbanisation-vs-tradition-the-paradox-of-female-labour-force-participation-in-south-asia/>.
Chen, M., Huang, X., Cheng, J., Tang, Z. and Huang, G. 2023. ‘Urbanization and Vulnerable Employment: Empirical Evidence from 163 Countries in 1991–2019’. Cities, vol. 135, e104208. <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2023.104208>.
De Janvry, A. 1981. The Agrarian Question and Reformism in Latin America. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Djeufack Dongmo, A., Mbengono Coralie, P., Chetue Komguep, M. and Kembeng Tchinda, U. 2023. ‘Urbanization, Informal Economy, Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions in African Countries: A Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) Model Approach’. Journal of Bioeconomics, vol. 25, pp. 35–63. <https://doi.org/10.1007/s10818-022-09331-5>.
Dogar, A.A., Shah, I., Mahmood, T., Elahi, N., Alam, A. and Jadoon, U.G. 2022. ‘Impact of Covid-19 on Informal Employment: A Case Study of Women Domestic Workers in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan’. PLOS ONE, vol. 17, e0278710. <https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0278710>.
Driscoll, J.C. and Kraay, A.C. 1998. ‘Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data’. The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 80, no. 4, pp. 549-560. <https://doi.org/10.1162/003465398557825>.
Elgin, C. and Elveren, A.Y. 2021. ‘Informality, Inequality, and Feminization of Labor’. Women’s Studies International Forum, vol. 88, e102505. <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wsif.2021.102505>.
Elgin, C. and Oyvat, C. 2013. ‘Lurking in the Cities: Urbanization and the Informal Economy’. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, vol. 27, pp. 36–47. <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2013.06.003>.
Furtado, C. 1970. Economic Development of Latin America: Historical Background and Contemporary Problems. 2nd ed. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Gangopadhyay, P. and Shankar, S. 2016. ‘Labour (Im)mobility and Monopsonistic Exploitation of Workers in the Urban Informal Sector: Lessons from a Field Study’. Urban Studies, vol. 53, no. 5, pp. 1042–1060. <https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098015571056>.
Gillani, D.Q., Shah, H.S. and Bashir, H.N. 2021. ‘Gender and Urban Informal Sector Employment: An Analysis from Southern Punjab, Pakistan’. Journal of Economic Impact, vol. 3, no. 3, pp. 152–157. <https://doi.org/10.52223/jei3032104>.
Gunatilaka, R. 2008. Informal Employment in Sri Lanka: Nature, Probability of Employment, and Determinants of Wages. Geneva: International Labour Organization. < https://www.ilo.org/publications/informal-employment-sri-lanka-nature-probability-employment-and>.
Hansen, B.E. 1999. ‘Threshold Effects in Non-Dynamic Panels: Estimation, Testing, and Inference’. Journal of Econometrics, vol. 93. no. 2, pp. 345-368. <https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(99)00025-1>.
Harris, J.R. and Todaro, M.P. 1970. ‘Migration, Unemployment and Development: A Two-Sector Analysis’. The American Economic Review, vol. 60, no. 1, pp. 126–142. <https://www.jstor.org/stable/1807860>.
Horn, Z.E. 2010. ‘The Effects of the Global Economic Crisis on Women in the Informal Economy: Research Findings from WIEGO and the Inclusive Cities Partners’. Gender & Development, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 263–276. <https://doi.org/10.1080/13552074.2010.491339>
ILOSTAT 2025. ‘Informal Employment Rate’. International Labour Organization. https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/snapshots/informal-employment-rate/. (Accessed: 17 September 2026).
Jütting, J.P. and De Laiglesia, J.R. 2009. ‘Employment, poverty reduction and development: What’s new’. Is Informal Normal?, Paris: OECD Publishing, pp. 17-26.
Kar, S.K. and Somani, A. 2015. ‘Impact of Rapid Urbanization on Women’s Mental Health: A Review of Literature’. Delhi Psychiatry Journal, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 171–176.
Kayser, G.L., Rao, N., Jose, R. and Raj, A. 2019. ‘Water, Sanitation and Hygiene: Measuring Gender Equality and Empowerment’. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, vol. 97, pp. 438–440. <https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.18.223305>.
Khan, T. and Khan, R.E.A. 2009. ‘Urban Informal Sector: How Much Women Are Struggling for Family Survival’. The Pakistan Development Review, vol. 48, no. 1, pp. 67–95. <https://doi.org/10.30541/v48i1pp.67-95>.
Kiaga, A. and Leung, V. 2020. ‘The Transition from the Informal to the Formal Economy in Africa’. Global Employment Policy Review Chapter 5, International Labour Organization. <https://www.ilo.org/publications/transition-informal-formal-economy-africa-0> . Accessed: 17 March 2026).
Lewis, W.A. 1954. ‘Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour’. The Manchester School, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 139–191. <https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.1954.tb00021.x>.
Lipton, M. 1982. ‘Why Poor People Stay Poor’. In: Rural Development. 1st ed. Routledge, p. 16. <https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003431763>.
Lv, Z. and Xu, T. 2021. ‘Urbanization and the Informal Economy: New Evidence from Partially Linear Functional-Coefficient Models’. Cities, vol. 119, e103383. <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2021.103383>.
Maqsood, H., Che Sulaiman, N.F., Muhamad, S. and Akmal Binti Rohaizad, N.A. 2024. ‘Women’s Economic Underdevelopment in Pakistan: The Intersection of Gender and Female Labour Force Participation’. Human Systems Management, vol. 43, no. 6, pp. 872–884. <https://doi.org/10.3233/HSM-240002>.
Mitra, A. 2005. ‘Women in the Urban Informal Sector: Perpetuation of Meagre Earnings’. Development and Change, vol. 36, no. 2, pp. 291–316. <https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0012-155X.2005.00412.x>.
Mitra, A. and Tripathi, S. 2024. ‘Do More Women Find Employment as the Urban Population Grows?’. Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 88–117.
Mohiuddin, Y. 1982. ‘Female Handicraft Workers: The Invisible Hands’. Pakistan and Gulf Economist, pp. 20–26.
Moser, C.O.N. 1978. ‘Informal Sector or Petty Commodity Production: Dualism or Dependence in Urban Development?’, World Development, vol. 6, nos. 9–10, pp. 1041–1064. <https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(78)90062-1>.
Nguyen, T.T.H. and Pham, T. 2024. ‘The Impact of Urbanization on Informal Employment: Evidence from Vietnam’, Tạp chí Kinh tế và Phát triển. <https://doi.org/10.33301/JED-05-2024-0035>.
Ohnsorge, F. and Yu, S. (eds) 2022. The Long Shadow of Informality: Challenges and Policies, World Bank, Washington, DC. <https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1753-3>.
Ortiz-Ospina, E., Samborska, V., Ritchie, H. and Roser, M. 2026, ‘Urbanization’, Our World in Data, originally published September 2018, substantially updated May 2026. <https://ourworldindata.org/urbanization>.
Piedrahita, N., Costa, V. and Mane, E. 2024. ‘Gender Gap in Agricultural Labour Productivity: A Cross-Country Comparison: Background Paper for The Status of Women in Agrifood Systems’, FAO, Rome. <https://doi.org/10.4060/cc9118en>.
Rawat, V. 2025. ‘Women Workers in the Informal Sector, Challenges and Opportunities: A Systematic Review and Suggested Ways Forward’, International Journal for Multidisciplinary Research, vol. 7, no. 5, September–October. <https://doi.org/10.36948/ijfmr.2025.v07i05.55984>.
Rogan, M. and Alfers, L. 2019. ‘Gendered Inequalities in the South African Informal Economy’, Agenda, vol. 33, no. 4, pp. 91–102. <https://doi.org/10.1080/10130950.2019.1676163>.
Strachan, G. and Adikaram, A.S. 2023. ‘Women’s Work in South Asia: Reflections on the Past Decade’, South Asian Journal of Human Resources Management, vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 244–255. <https://doi.org/10.1177/23220937231198381>.
Tanabe, K. and Angel-Urdinola, D.F. 2012. ‘Micro-Determinants of Informal Employment in the Middle East and North Africa Region’. Social Protection Discussion Paper, no. 1201. World Bank. <https://doi.org/10.1596/26828>.
Thompson, K. 2017. ‘Modernization Theory’, ReviseSociology, 19 September. Last updated 29 June 2025. <https://revisesociology.com/2017/09/19/modernization-theory/>.
Tomoiagă, E. and Pop Silaghi, M.I. 2023. ‘Internal Migration in Romania: Revisiting the Harris-Todaro Model of Migration’, European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 176–185. <https://doi.org/10.24818/ejis.2023.23>.
United Nations Department of Public Information 2000, The Feminization of Poverty, Beijing+5: Fact Sheet No. 1, DPI/2035/A, United Nations, New York, May, viewed 25 September 2026, < https://www.un.org/womenwatch/daw/followup/session/presskit/fs1.htm>.
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2025, World Urbanization Prospects 2025. < https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/world-urbanization-prospects-2025>.
Yoda, A.H. 2025. ‘Do Remittances Reduce Labor Force Participation in Sub-Saharan African Countries? Empirical Evidence of Heterogeneous Effects and Economic Opportunity Channels’. Cogent Economics & Finance, vol. 13, no. 1, e2528445. <https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2025.2528445>.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Haniya Randhawa, Ammar Randhawa, Rahima Omar

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

